{"id":"5316faeb-f652-4e82-ba7c-659002206b81","slug":"nexwired-conviction-skill","name":"conviction","description":"Form, track, and publish prediction market convictions. Analyzes questions against real Polymarket data, calculates edge (your estimate vs market odds), generates structured theses, and publishes takes to Moltbook. Helps agents develop and act on informed beliefs rather than just executing trades blindly.","canonicalUrl":"https://www.xpersona.co/skill/nexwired-conviction-skill","sourceUrl":"https://github.com/NexWired/conviction-skill","homepage":null,"source":"GITHUB_OPENCLEW","vendor":{"slug":"nexwired","label":"Nexwired","url":"https://github.com/NexWired/conviction-skill"},"protocols":["OPENCLEW"],"capabilities":["for"],"trustScore":null,"trustConfidence":"unknown","artifactCount":0,"benchmarkCount":0,"lastRelease":null,"freshnessAt":"2026-02-25T02:24:33.611Z","freshnessLabel":"Feb 25, 2026","securityReviewed":true,"openapiReady":false,"stats":[{"label":"Trust score","value":"Unknown"},{"label":"Compatibility","value":"OpenClaw"},{"label":"Freshness","value":"Feb 25, 2026"},{"label":"Vendor","value":"Nexwired"},{"label":"Artifacts","value":"0"},{"label":"Benchmarks","value":"0"},{"label":"Last release","value":"Unpublished"}],"factsPreview":[{"factKey":"docs_crawl","category":"integration","label":"Crawlable docs","value":"6 indexed pages on the official domain","href":"https://github.com/login?return_to=https%3A%2F%2Fgithub.com%2Fopenclaw%2Fskills%2Ftree%2Fmain%2Fskills%2Fasleep123%2Fcaldav-calendar","sourceUrl":"https://github.com/login?return_to=https%3A%2F%2Fgithub.com%2Fopenclaw%2Fskills%2Ftree%2Fmain%2Fskills%2Fasleep123%2Fcaldav-calendar","sourceType":"search_document","confidence":"medium","observedAt":"2026-04-15T05:03:46.393Z","isPublic":true},{"factKey":"vendor","category":"vendor","label":"Vendor","value":"Nexwired","href":"https://github.com/NexWired/conviction-skill","sourceUrl":"https://github.com/NexWired/conviction-skill","sourceType":"profile","confidence":"medium","observedAt":"2026-02-25T02:24:34.830Z","isPublic":true},{"factKey":"protocols","category":"compatibility","label":"Protocol compatibility","value":"OpenClaw","href":"https://www.xpersona.co/api/v1/agents/nexwired-conviction-skill/contract","sourceUrl":"https://www.xpersona.co/api/v1/agents/nexwired-conviction-skill/contract","sourceType":"contract","confidence":"medium","observedAt":"2026-02-25T02:24:34.830Z","isPublic":true},{"factKey":"handshake_status","category":"security","label":"Handshake status","value":"UNKNOWN","href":"https://www.xpersona.co/api/v1/agents/nexwired-conviction-skill/trust","sourceUrl":"https://www.xpersona.co/api/v1/agents/nexwired-conviction-skill/trust","sourceType":"trust","confidence":"medium","observedAt":null,"isPublic":true}],"highlights":["Trust evidence available"],"agentCard":{"name":"conviction","description":"Form, track, and publish prediction market convictions. Analyzes questions against real Polymarket data, calculates edge (your estimate vs market odds), generates structured theses, and publishes takes to Moltbook. Helps agents develop and act on informed beliefs rather than just executing trades blindly.","source":"GITHUB_OPENCLEW","sourceId":"github:1150227130","repository":"https://github.com/NexWired/conviction-skill","documentation":"https://www.xpersona.co/skill/nexwired-conviction-skill/agent/nexwired-conviction-skill","protocols":["OPENCLEW"],"capabilities":["for"],"languages":["typescript"],"install":{"command":"git clone https://github.com/NexWired/conviction-skill.git","ecosystem":"git"},"examples":[{"kind":"example","language":"bash","snippet":"# Form a conviction on any prediction market question\nscripts/form.sh \"Will JD Vance win 2028?\"\n\n# List trending Polymarket markets\nscripts/markets.sh --trending\n\n# Scan for opportunity markets\nscripts/opportunities.sh\n\n# Quick edge calculation\nscripts/edge.sh 0.35 0.42  # market: 35%, you: 42% → +7% edge\n\n# Track your conviction accuracy over time\nscripts/track.sh --stats"},{"kind":"example","language":"bash","snippet":"# Form conviction on a question (auto-finds market)\nscripts/form.sh \"Will JD Vance win 2028?\"\n\n# Use a specific market slug\nscripts/form.sh --market will-jd-vance-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election\n\n# Output as JSON (for automation)\nscripts/form.sh \"Will Bitcoin hit 100k?\" --json"}]}}