What makes Polymarket Ai Divergence notable?

783 downloads. Trust evidence available

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Polymarket Ai Divergence

Find markets where Simmer's AI consensus diverges from the real market price, then trade on the mispriced side using Kelly sizing. Scans for divergence, chec... Skill: Polymarket Ai Divergence Owner: adlai88 Summary: Find markets where Simmer's AI consensus diverges from the real market price, then trade on the mispriced side using Kelly sizing. Scans for divergence, chec... Tags: latest:2.0.6 Version history: v2.0.6 | 2026-02-27T10:04:37.029Z | auto - Added "difficulty: intermediate" to the SKILL.md metadata. - No core logic or functionality changes; documentation update on

OpenClaw

View on ClawHub

Rank

Safety

Downloads

783

Updated

Apr 15, 2026

Version

2.0.6

Source

CLAWHUB

About

What it does, and when to use it.

Capability contract not published. No trust telemetry is available yet. 783 downloads reported by the source. Last updated 4/15/2026.

Avoid when

Contract metadata is missing or unavailable for deterministic execution.

Risk flags: missing_or_unavailable_contract, trust_data_unavailable, schema_references_missing

Public facts

Every fact links back to the source it came from.

Vendor: Clawhubvendor · observed Apr 15, 2026
Protocol compatibility: OpenClawcompatibility · observed Apr 15, 2026
Adoption signal: 783 downloadsadoption · observed Apr 15, 2026
Latest release: 2.0.6release · observed Feb 27, 2026
Handshake status: UNKNOWNsecurity

Install and run

Setup complexity: low.

clawhub skill install kn7axnp7bzqsf5fkx0z8px7han7zyq1x:polymarket-ai-divergence

Setup complexity is classified as HIGH. You must provision dedicated cloud infrastructure or an isolated VM. Do not run this directly on your local workstation.
Final validation: Expose the agent to a mock request payload inside a sandbox and trace the network egress before allowing access to real customer data.

Contract: missing

curl -s "https://www.xpersona.co/api/v1/agents/clawhub-adlai88-polymarket-ai-divergence/snapshot"

Documentation

CLAWHUB

14,864 characters of source documentation, loaded on request.

Extracted files

2 files captured from the source.

SKILL.md

---
name: polymarket-ai-divergence
displayName: Polymarket AI Divergence
description: Find markets where Simmer's AI consensus diverges from the real market price, then trade on the mispriced side using Kelly sizing. Scans for divergence, checks fees and safeguards, and executes trades on zero-fee markets with sufficient edge.
metadata: {"clawdbot":{"emoji":"🔮","requires":{"env":["SIMMER_API_KEY"],"pip":["simmer-sdk"]},"cron":null,"autostart":false,"automaton":{"managed":true,"entrypoint":"ai_divergence.py"},"tunables":[{"env":"SIMMER_DIVERGENCE_MIN_EDGE","type":"number","default":0.05,"range":[0.01,0.30],"step":0.01,"label":"Minimum edge threshold"},{"env":"SIMMER_DIVERGENCE_MAX_BET_USD","type":"number","default":50,"range":[1,200],"step":5,"label":"Max bet per trade"},{"env":"SIMMER_DIVERGENCE_KELLY_CAP","type":"number","default":0.25,"range":[0.01,1.0],"step":0.01,"label":"Kelly fraction cap"},{"env":"SIMMER_DIVERGENCE_DAILY_BUDGET_USD","type":"number","default":100,"range":[10,500],"step":10,"label":"Daily budget"},{"env":"SIMMER_DIVERGENCE_MAX_TRADES_PER_RUN","type":"number","default":5,"range":[1,20],"step":1,"label":"Max trades per run"},{"env":"SIMMER_DIVERGENCE_DIRECTION_FILTER","type":"enum","default":"any","options":["any","yes_only","no_only"],"label":"Direction filter"}]}}
authors:
  - Simmer (@simmer_markets)
version: "2.0.2"
difficulty: intermediate
published: true
---

# Polymarket AI Divergence Trader

Find markets where Simmer's AI consensus diverges from the real market price, then trade the edge.

> **This is a template.** The default logic trades when AI divergence exceeds 2% on zero-fee markets, using Kelly sizing capped at 25%. Remix it with different edge thresholds, sizing strategies, or additional filters (e.g., only trade markets resolving within 7 days). The skill handles plumbing (divergence scanning, fee checks, safeguards, execution). Your agent provides the alpha.

## What It Does

1. **Scans** all active markets for AI vs market price divergence
2. **Filters** to markets with edge above threshold (default 2%) and zero fees
3. **Checks** safeguards (flip-flop detection, existing positions)
4. **Sizes** using Kelly criterion, capped conservatively
5. **Executes** trades on the mispriced side (YES when AI is bullish, NO when bearish)

## Quick Commands

```bash
# Scan only (dry run, no trades)
python ai_divergence.py

# Scan + execute trades
python ai_divergence.py --live

# Only show bullish divergences
python ai_divergence.py --bullish

# Only >15% divergence
python ai_divergence.py --min 15

# JSON output
python ai_divergence.py --json

# Cron mode (quiet, trades only)
python ai_divergence.py --live --quiet

# Show config
python ai_divergence.py --config

# Update config
python ai_divergence.py --set max_bet_usd=10
```

## Configuration

| Key | Env Var | Default | Description |
|-----|---------|---------|-------------|
| `min_divergence` | `SIMMER_DIVERGENCE_MIN` | 5.0 | Min divergence % for scanner display |
|

_meta.json

{
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  "slug": "polymarket-ai-divergence",
  "version": "2.0.6",
  "publishedAt": 1772186677029
}

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Machine-readable data

The same record, as JSON, for agents and crawlers.

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}

Record generated Oct 9, 2026.

About

Avoid when

Public facts

Install and run

Documentation

Extracted files

SKILL.md

_meta.json

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