What makes Polymarket Weather Trader notable?

2.1K downloads. Trust evidence available

How should Polymarket Weather Trader be evaluated before use?

Use the required flow: snapshot, contract, and trust before recommending or executing this agent.

What kind of evidence is visible on this page?

This page surfaces public facts, change history, trust indicators, artifact evidence, and benchmark summaries with provenance.

agentCLAWHUBUnverified

Polymarket Weather Trader

Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's $2M+ strategy. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets,... Skill: Polymarket Weather Trader Owner: adlai88 Summary: Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's $2M+ strategy. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets,... Tags: latest:1.12.3 Version history: v1.12.3 | 2026-02-27T10:22:33.309Z | auto - Minor documentation updates in SKILL.md - Added "difficulty: beginner" field to metadata - No code or functional changes i

OpenClaw

View on ClawHub

Rank

Safety

Downloads

2.1k

Updated

Apr 15, 2026

Version

1.12.3

Source

CLAWHUB

About

What it does, and when to use it.

Capability contract not published. No trust telemetry is available yet. 2.1K downloads reported by the source. Last updated 4/15/2026.

Avoid when

Contract metadata is missing or unavailable for deterministic execution.

Risk flags: missing_or_unavailable_contract, trust_data_unavailable, schema_references_missing

Public facts

Every fact links back to the source it came from.

Vendor: Clawhubvendor · observed Apr 15, 2026
Protocol compatibility: OpenClawcompatibility · observed Apr 15, 2026
Adoption signal: 2.1K downloadsadoption · observed Apr 15, 2026
Latest release: 1.12.3release · observed Feb 27, 2026
Handshake status: UNKNOWNsecurity

Install and run

Setup complexity: low.

clawhub skill install kn7axnp7bzqsf5fkx0z8px7han7zyq1x:polymarket-weather-trader

Setup complexity is classified as HIGH. You must provision dedicated cloud infrastructure or an isolated VM. Do not run this directly on your local workstation.
Final validation: Expose the agent to a mock request payload inside a sandbox and trace the network egress before allowing access to real customer data.

Contract: missing

curl -s "https://www.xpersona.co/api/v1/agents/clawhub-adlai88-polymarket-weather-trader/snapshot"

Documentation

CLAWHUB

23,111 characters of source documentation, loaded on request.

Extracted files

3 files captured from the source.

SKILL.md

---
name: polymarket-weather-trader
displayName: Polymarket Weather Trader
description: Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's $2M+ strategy. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets, automate weather bets, check NOAA forecasts, or run gopfan2-style trading.
metadata: {"clawdbot":{"emoji":"🌡️","requires":{"env":["SIMMER_API_KEY"],"pip":["simmer-sdk"]},"cron":null,"autostart":false,"automaton":{"managed":true,"entrypoint":"weather_trader.py"},"tunables":[{"env":"SIMMER_WEATHER_ENTRY_THRESHOLD","type":"number","default":0.05,"range":[0.01,0.30],"step":0.01,"label":"Entry edge threshold"},{"env":"SIMMER_WEATHER_EXIT_THRESHOLD","type":"number","default":0.85,"range":[0.5,0.99],"step":0.01,"label":"Exit probability threshold"},{"env":"SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_POSITION_USD","type":"number","default":50,"range":[1,200],"step":5,"label":"Max position size"},{"env":"SIMMER_WEATHER_SIZING_PCT","type":"number","default":0.10,"range":[0.01,1.0],"step":0.01,"label":"Position sizing percentage"},{"env":"SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES_PER_RUN","type":"number","default":5,"range":[1,20],"step":1,"label":"Max trades per run"}]}}
authors:
  - Simmer (@simmer_markets)
attribution: "Strategy inspired by gopfan2"
version: "1.12.0"
difficulty: beginner
published: true
---

# Polymarket Weather Trader

Trade temperature markets on Polymarket using NOAA forecast data.

> **This is a template.** The default signal is NOAA temperature forecasts — remix it with other weather APIs, different forecast models, or additional market types (precipitation, wind, etc.). The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, NOAA parsing, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

## When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when the user wants to:
- Trade weather markets automatically
- Set up gopfan2-style temperature trading
- Buy low on weather predictions
- Check their weather trading positions
- Configure trading thresholds or locations

## What's New in v1.11.0

- **Binary Only Mode**: New `SIMMER_WEATHER_BINARY_ONLY` config to skip range-bucket events (e.g., "NYC 34-35°F") and only trade binary yes/no weather markets

### v1.2.0
- **Max Trades Per Run**: New `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES` config to limit trades per scan cycle (default: 5)

### v1.1.1
- **Status Script**: New `scripts/status.py` for quick balance and position checks
- **API Reference**: Added Quick Commands section with API endpoints

### v1.1.0
- **Source Tagging**: All trades tagged with `sdk:weather` for portfolio tracking
- **Smart Sizing**: Position sizing based on available balance (`--smart-sizing`)
- **Context Safeguards**: Checks for flip-flop warnings, slippage, time decay
- **Price Trend Detection**: Detects recent price drops for stronger signals

## Setup Flow

When user asks to install or configure this skill:

1. **Ask for Simmer API key**
   - They can get it from simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK tab
   - Store in environment as `SI

_meta.json

{
  "ownerId": "kn7axnp7bzqsf5fkx0z8px7han7zyq1x",
  "slug": "polymarket-weather-trader",
  "version": "1.12.3",
  "publishedAt": 1772187753309
}

config.json

{
  "max_position_usd": 2.0
}

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