agentCLAWHUBUnverified

polymarket-wallet-xray

X-ray any Polymarket wallet — skill level, entry quality, bot detection, and edge analysis. Queries Polymarket's public APIs, no authentication needed. Inspired by @thejayden's "Autopsy of a Polymarket Whale" analysis. Skill: polymarket-wallet-xray Owner: simmer Summary: X-ray any Polymarket wallet — skill level, entry quality, bot detection, and edge analysis. Queries Polymarket's public APIs, no authentication needed. Inspired by @thejayden's "Autopsy of a Polymarket Whale" analysis. Tags: latest:1.1.5 Version history: v1.1.5 | 2026-09-06T01:16:30.622Z | auto Polymarket Wallet X-Ray v1.1.5 - Bumped skill version to 1.1.5. - Docum

OpenClaw

Rank

62

Safety

84

Downloads

2.0k

Updated

Oct 9, 2026

Version

1.1.5

Source

CLAWHUB

About

What it does, and when to use it.

Capability contract not published. No trust telemetry is available yet. 2K downloads reported by the source. Last updated 10/9/2026.

Avoid when

  • Contract metadata is missing or unavailable for deterministic execution.

Risk flags: missing_or_unavailable_contract, trust_data_unavailable, schema_references_missing

Public facts

Every fact links back to the source it came from.

Vendor
Clawhubvendor · observed Oct 9, 2026
Protocol compatibility
OpenClawcompatibility · observed Oct 9, 2026
Adoption signal
2K downloadsadoption · observed Oct 9, 2026
Latest release
1.1.5release · observed Sep 6, 2026
Handshake status
UNKNOWNsecurity

Install and run

Setup complexity: low.

clawhub skill install s17eez0vajry6hjb97y9mbtv2s85wekv:polymarket-wallet-xray
  1. Setup complexity is classified as HIGH. You must provision dedicated cloud infrastructure or an isolated VM. Do not run this directly on your local workstation.
  2. Final validation: Expose the agent to a mock request payload inside a sandbox and trace the network egress before allowing access to real customer data.

Contract: missing

curl -s "https://www.xpersona.co/api/v1/agents/clawhub-simmer-polymarket-wallet-xray/snapshot"

Documentation

CLAWHUB

145,601 characters of source documentation, loaded on request.

Extracted files

5 files captured from the source.

SKILL.md

---
name: polymarket-wallet-xray
description: X-ray any Polymarket wallet — skill level, entry quality, bot detection, and edge analysis. Queries Polymarket's public APIs, no authentication needed. Inspired by @thejayden's "Autopsy of a Polymarket Whale" analysis.
metadata:
  author: Simmer (@simmer_markets)
  version: "1.1.5"
  displayName: Polymarket Wallet X-Ray
  difficulty: beginner
---
# Polymarket Wallet X-Ray

Analyze **any** Polymarket wallet's trading patterns, skill level, and edge detection.

**No authentication needed.** Queries Polymarket's public CLOB API directly.

**Inspired by:** [The Autopsy: How to Read the Mind of a Polymarket Whale](https://x.com/thejayden/status/2020891572389224878) by [@thejayden](https://x.com/thejayden)

> 🚨 **Framework, not a production trading system.** Read [DISCLAIMER.md](./DISCLAIMER.md) before connecting to a wallet with real funds.

> This skill implements the forensic trading analysis framework developed by @thejayden. Read the original post to understand the philosophy behind Time Profitable, hedge checks, bot detection, and accumulation signals.

> **This is an analysis tool, not a trading signal.** The skill returns forensic metrics for ANY Polymarket wallet — your agent uses them to UNDERSTAND traders, learn patterns, and make informed decisions. This is for education and research, not for blindly copying positions.

## ⚠️ Important Disclaimer

**Past performance does not guarantee future results.** A wallet's historical metrics tell you about:
- ✅ How they traded *in the past*
- ✅ Their *historical* win rate and entry quality
- ❌ NOT whether their strategy will work going forward

**Why copying is risky:**
- Market conditions change constantly
- A trader's edge might have been luck, timing, or specific to historical events
- Slippage and fees erode thin edges to zero
- Other traders copying the same strategy destroy the edge

**Use this skill to:**
- ✅ Learn what skilled traders look like (metrics, behavior)
- ✅ Identify potential anomalies (bots, arbitrageurs)
- ✅ Understand trader psychology (FOMO vs. discipline)
- ✅ Inform your own strategy decisions

**DO NOT use this skill to:**
- ❌ Automatically copytrade wallets
- ❌ Expect to replicate their returns
- ❌ Trade on these metrics without understanding why
- ❌ Risk significant capital on patterns you don't understand

## When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when you want to:
- **Learn how skilled traders operate** — What metrics separate winners from losers?
- **Understand trading psychology** — Who chases prices? Who has discipline?
- **Detect bots and anomalies** — Identify suspicious patterns for research
- **Research arbitrage activity** — Find wallets with hedged positions (educational)
- **Compare trader profiles** — What does a consistent trader look like vs. a lucky one?
- **Inform your own strategy** — Use patterns as input to YOUR decision-making, not as direct signals

**NOT for:**
- Copying trades blindly or automatically
- 

README.md

# Polymarket Wallet X-Ray

X-ray any Polymarket wallet — trading patterns, skill level, and edge detection.

## Files

- **SKILL.md** — User documentation, quick start, usage examples, troubleshooting
- **wallet_xray.py** — Main analysis script
- **scripts/status.py** — Portfolio status helper

## Quick Start

```bash
# Analyze a wallet
python wallet_xray.py 0x1234...abcd

# Analyze wallet for specific market
python wallet_xray.py 0x1234...abcd "Bitcoin"

# Output as JSON
python wallet_xray.py 0x1234...abcd --json

# Compare two wallets
python wallet_xray.py 0xaaa... 0xbbb... --compare
```

## Installation

```bash
pip install simmer-sdk requests
export SIMMER_API_KEY="sk_live_..."
```

## Metrics Computed

- **Time Profitable** — % of time wallet was not underwater
- **Win Rate** — % of trades profitable
- **Entry Quality** — Average slippage from optimal price
- **Bot Detection** — Trading speed pattern analysis
- **Arbitrage Edge** — Combined YES+NO average < $1.00
- **Risk Profile** — Drawdowns and volatility
- **Recommendation** — Should you copytrade this wallet?

## Implementation Notes

The skill fetches trades from the Simmer API, which aggregates Polymarket data. It then:

1. Tracks positions over time (YES/NO shares and cost basis)
2. Realizes P&Ls when positions are closed
3. Computes statistical metrics (mean, stdev, etc.)
4. Generates a recommendation score

All metrics are based on @thejayden's "Autopsy of a Polymarket Whale" framework.

## Attribution

Inspired by [@thejayden](https://x.com/thejayden)'s forensic trading analysis post:
https://x.com/thejayden/status/2020891572389224878

_meta.json

{
  "ownerId": "kn7axnp7bzqsf5fkx0z8px7han7zyq1x",
  "slug": "polymarket-wallet-xray",
  "version": "1.1.5",
  "publishedAt": 1788657390622
}

DISCLAIMER.md

# Disclaimer

This skill is a **framework**, not a production trading system. Read this
in full before connecting it to a wallet with real funds.

## No financial advice

Nothing in this skill constitutes financial, investment, or trading
advice. The default strategy implemented here is a starting point, not a
tested edge. Suitability for any account size or risk tolerance is your
responsibility to assess.

## Default parameters are not validated

Default parameters are calibrated for testing the plumbing, not for live
profit. They have not been validated to produce positive returns under
current market conditions. Run paper mode for an extended period before
scaling beyond default position sizes.

## Automated trading carries irreversible risk

When this skill runs with `--live`, it places real on-chain orders.
On-chain trades cannot be recalled. Strategy errors, signal lag, market
regime shifts, and operator misconfiguration can produce losses
exceeding any specific position size.

## Risk monitoring may not apply to all market types

Stop-loss and take-profit monitors run on a fixed schedule. Markets that
resolve faster than the monitor cycle cannot be exited automatically.
Position sizing is the only risk control on these markets — set it
conservatively.

## Use of this skill is at your own risk

By installing and running this skill you agree that the authors are not
liable for any losses, direct or indirect, that arise from its use. This
applies regardless of skill provenance — official Simmer skills,
community skills, and skills imported from external repositories all
carry this same disclaimer.

## Where to learn more before going live

- The skill's own `SKILL.md` documents the strategy and parameters
- Your trading venue's documentation covers fee structure, order types,
  and resolution rules
- Simmer SDK documentation covers paper mode, dry-run flags, and
  position monitoring

skill-card.md

## Description:

X-ray any Polymarket wallet for skill level, entry quality, bot detection, and edge analysis using public Polymarket activity data.

This skill is for research and development only.

## Publisher:

[simmer](https://clawhub.ai/user/simmer)

### License/Terms of Use:

MIT-0

## Use Case:

Developers, researchers, and prediction-market analysts use this skill to inspect public Polymarket wallet activity, compare trader profiles, and study behavioral signals such as entry quality, bot-like timing, hedging, and drawdown risk. It should support research and decision review, not automatic copytrading or financial advice.

### Deployment Geography for Use:

Global

## Known Risks and Mitigations:

Risk: The server security review marks the release suspicious because the wallet analyzer is described as public-data only while the package also requests SIMMER_API_KEY and includes authenticated account-status behavior.

Mitigation: Review the skill before installation, run it in an isolated environment, and export SIMMER_API_KEY only when intentionally using the Simmer account-status helper.

Risk: Wallet metrics and generated recommendations can be mistaken for copytrading instructions or financial advice.

Mitigation: Use the output for research and independent review only; do not automate trades or allocate capital based solely on the skill's recommendation field.

Risk: Historical wallet performance, entry quality, and arbitrage indicators may not generalize to future market conditions.

Mitigation: Treat results as retrospective analysis, validate assumptions separately, and use paper or dry-run workflows before any real-money use.

## Reference(s):

- [ClawHub skill page](https://clawhub.ai/simmer/skills/polymarket-wallet-xray)
- [Simmer API Reference](https://docs.simmer.markets/api/overview)
- [Polymarket CLOB API](https://clob.polymarket.com)
- [Polymarket Gamma markets keyset endpoint](https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/keyset)
- [Original wallet analysis framework](https://x.com/thejayden/status/2020891572389224878)

## Skill Output:

**Output Type(s):** [text, markdown, JSON, shell commands, guidance]

**Output Format:** [CLI text or JSON metrics, with markdown guidance and shell command examples]

**Output Parameters:** [1D]

**Other Properties Related to Output:** [May include wallet profitability, entry-quality, bot-detection, arbitrage, risk-profile, and recommendation fields.]

## Skill Version(s):

1.1.5 (source: server release evidence and SKILL.md frontmatter)

## Ethical Considerations:

Users should evaluate whether this skill is appropriate for their environment, review any generated or modified files before relying on them, and apply their organization's safety, security, and compliance requirements before deployment.
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Machine-readable data

The same record, as JSON, for agents and crawlers.

{
  "facts": [
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      "category": "vendor",
      "label": "Vendor",
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      "confidence": "medium",
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  "events": [
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}

Record generated Oct 10, 2026.

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